Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Alex De Minaur		Alex Molcan

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.33	3.35
	1.34	3.25	Watch
	1.34	3.2
	1.34	3.39	Watch
	1.34	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.31)	3.32 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex De Minaur
71.3%

Alex Molcan
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.2%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Alex De Minaur aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Alex Molcan aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Alex De Minaur - Alex Molcan Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. De Minaur will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Molcan will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

De Minaur is ranked ATP: 9., and Molcan is ranked ATP: 84..

De Minaur has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Molcan has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

De Minaur may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, De Minaur is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, De Minaur has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2 (averaging 0:1 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex De Minaur
ATP Beijing
06.10.26	Novak Djokovic - Alex De Minaur	De Minaur A. Retired ✺
05.10.26	Alex De Minaur - Hubert Hurkacz	Hurkacz H. Retired ✺
04.10.26	Alex De Minaur - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
02.10.26	Alex De Minaur - Quentin Halys	2:1 ✺
30.09.26	Alex De Minaur - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 ??WWW
- Alex Molcan
ATP Shanghai
07.10.26	Alex Molcan - Federico Cina	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
02.10.26	Alex Molcan - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
30.09.26	Alex Molcan - Arthur Rinderknech	Canceled ✺
29.09.26	Marco Trungelliti - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
28.09.26	Alex Molcan - Vit Kopriva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WL?WW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Lyon
20.05.22	Alex De Minaur - Alex Molcan	0:2

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