Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - Final

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN 2, ESPN 3, ESPN
Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Colombia	ESPN 3, ESPN
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Peru	ESPN 3
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports UHD


	Ben Shelton		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	1.40	3.00	Watch
	1.40	3.10	Watch
	1.43	2.85	Watch
	1.45	3.05
	1.41	2.99	Watch
	1.42	3
	1.45	2.92	Watch
	1.44	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.57)	2.97 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 25.00

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Shelton
67.6%

Brandon Nakashima
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Shelton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ben Shelton's performance.

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brandon Nakashima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ben Shelton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brandon Nakashima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ben Shelton - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Shelton will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Nakashima will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shelton: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shelton (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 31.5 Games - over (3.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (2.25) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shelton is ranked ATP: 10. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 31.

Each of the two players have built a series of wins lately.

Shelton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Shelton will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shelton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:1. (average 2.2:0.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Ben Shelton - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 60.55%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ben Shelton
ATP Montreal
12.08.26	Learner Tien - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Jakub Mensik - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Joao Fonseca - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
07.08.26	Zizou Bergs - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Jenson Brooksby - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Montreal
12.08.26	Rafael Jodar - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Luciano Darderi - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
08.08.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
06.08.26	Brandon Nakashima - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
04.08.26	Brandon Nakashima - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Toronto
01.08.25	Brandon Nakashima - Ben Shelton	1:2
ATP Indian Wells
12.03.25	Brandon Nakashima - Ben Shelton	0:2
ATP Australian Open
14.01.25	Ben Shelton - Brandon Nakashima	3:0
ATP Washington
01.08.24	Brandon Nakashima - Ben Shelton	0:2
ATP Houston
05.04.24	Ben Shelton - Brandon Nakashima	2:0

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