The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Reilly Opelka 60.6%
Oscar Otte 39.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.5%
33.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.2%
33.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reilly Opelka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reilly Opelka's form might have worsened.
Oscar Otte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oscar Otte's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reilly Opelka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oscar Otte than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oscar Otte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
43.6%
0%
56.4%
Reilly Opelka - Oscar Otte Predictions
Users Predictions:
55 users predict this event. Opelka will win (votes: 24 - 43.6%). Otte will win (votes: 31 - 56.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Otte: 43.3% – 69.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Opelka is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Otte is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Otte could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.