Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Orleans, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Remy Bertola		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
			Watch
	1.73	1.99
	1.68	2.06	Watch
	1.72	2.03	Watch
	1.73	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.1)	2.01 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Remy Bertola
54%

Calvin Hemery
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Remy Bertola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Remy Bertola's performance.

Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Calvin Hemery might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Remy Bertola than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Remy Bertola that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Calvin Hemery could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Remy Bertola - Calvin Hemery Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bertola (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Remy Bertola will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bertola is ranked ATP: 301. Hemery is ranked ATP: 205.

Bertola has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Hemery's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bertola may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Bertola will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bertola won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Calvin Hemery - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.07%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Remy Bertola
ATP Challenger
22.09.25	Remy Bertola - Kenny De Schepper	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Remy Bertola - Karan Singh	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.09.25	Ryan Peniston - Remy Bertola	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Luca Potenza - Remy Bertola	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Etienne Donnet - Remy Bertola	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWW
- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
09.09.25	Maxime Janvier - Calvin Hemery	Canceled ✺
05.09.25	Luca Potenza - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Mert Naci Turker - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
02.09.25	Peter Makk - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Miguel Tobon - Calvin Hemery	Hemery C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 ?LWW?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
03.09.21	Calvin Hemery - Remy Bertola	0:2
29.08.21	Remy Bertola - Calvin Hemery	1:2

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