Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Caldas da Rainha, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday


	Renata Jamrichova		Polina Iatcenko

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.94	1.77	Watch
	1.91	1.91
	1.94	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.77)	1.82 ↓ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renata Jamrichova
48.6%

Polina Iatcenko
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renata Jamrichova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Polina Iatcenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renata Jamrichova than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Renata Jamrichova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polina Iatcenko than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polina Iatcenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Renata Jamrichova - Polina Iatcenko Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Iatcenko (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Polina Iatcenko will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jamrichova is ranked WTA: 229. Iatcenko is ranked WTA: 267.

Jamrichova is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Iatcenko has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Iatcenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jamrichova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Renata Jamrichova
ATP Challenger
18.09.25	Renata Jamrichova - Harriet Dart	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Alina Korneeva - Renata Jamrichova	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Simona Waltert - Renata Jamrichova	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Renata Jamrichova - Hanne Van De Winkel	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Dominika Salkova - Renata Jamrichova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWLWW
- Polina Iatcenko
ATP Challenger
17.09.25	Karolina Pliskova - Polina Iatcenko	1:2 ✺
15.09.25	Polina Iatcenko - Matilde Jorge	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.09.25	Greetje Minnen - Polina Iatcenko	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Sofia Costoulas - Polina Iatcenko	Costoulas S. retired ✺
11.09.25	Polina Iatcenko - Harmony Tan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWL?W

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
29.03.23	Polina Iatcenko - Renata Jamrichova	2:0

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