Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Caldas da Rainha, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Caldas da Rainha 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Karolina Pliskova		Polina Iatcenko

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Karolina Pliskova
55.3%

Polina Iatcenko
44.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karolina Pliskova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karolina Pliskova's form might have worsened.

Polina Iatcenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polina Iatcenko's recent form is better than expected.

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pliskova will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Iatcenko will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Iatcenko (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Pliskova is ranked WTA: 44. Iatcenko is ranked WTA: 267.

In recent matches, Iatcenko has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pliskova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karolina Pliskova
ATP Challenger
15.09.25	Karolina Pliskova - Tessah Andrianjafitrimo	2:1 ✺
WTA US Open
29.08.24	Karolina Pliskova - Jasmine Paolini	Pliskova Ka. retired ✺
27.08.24	Mayar Sherif - Karolina Pliskova	1:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
15.08.24	Mirra Andreeva - Karolina Pliskova	2:0 ✺
13.08.24	Karolina Pliskova - Viktoriya Tomova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 W?WLW
- Polina Iatcenko
ATP Challenger
15.09.25	Polina Iatcenko - Matilde Jorge	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.09.25	Greetje Minnen - Polina Iatcenko	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Sofia Costoulas - Polina Iatcenko	Costoulas S. retired ✺
11.09.25	Polina Iatcenko - Harmony Tan	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Sofya Lansere - Polina Iatcenko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WL?WW

Karolina Pliskova - Polina Iatcenko