Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Caldas da Rainha, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday


	Karolina Pliskova		Polina Iatcenko

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.68	2.06	Watch
	1.69	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.55)	2.08 ↓ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karolina Pliskova
55.3%

Polina Iatcenko
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karolina Pliskova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karolina Pliskova's form might have worsened.

Polina Iatcenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polina Iatcenko's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Karolina Pliskova - Polina Iatcenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pliskova will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Iatcenko will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Iatcenko (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pliskova is ranked WTA: 44. Iatcenko is ranked WTA: 267.

In recent matches, Iatcenko has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pliskova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karolina Pliskova
ATP Challenger
15.09.25	Karolina Pliskova - Tessah Andrianjafitrimo	2:1 ✺
WTA US Open
29.08.24	Karolina Pliskova - Jasmine Paolini	Pliskova Ka. retired ✺
27.08.24	Mayar Sherif - Karolina Pliskova	1:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
15.08.24	Mirra Andreeva - Karolina Pliskova	2:0 ✺
13.08.24	Karolina Pliskova - Viktoriya Tomova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 W?WLW
- Polina Iatcenko
ATP Challenger
15.09.25	Polina Iatcenko - Matilde Jorge	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.09.25	Greetje Minnen - Polina Iatcenko	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Sofia Costoulas - Polina Iatcenko	Costoulas S. retired ✺
11.09.25	Polina Iatcenko - Harmony Tan	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Sofya Lansere - Polina Iatcenko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WL?WW

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