Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Renata Zarazua		Polina Iatcenko

	1	2
	1.73	2.10	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.75	2.08
	1.80	2.20
	1.73	2.06	Watch
	1.75	2.13
	1.74	2.12	Watch
	1.74	2.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.01)	2.11 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Renata Zarazua
54.6%

Polina Iatcenko
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renata Zarazua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Renata Zarazua's performance.

Polina Iatcenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Polina Iatcenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renata Zarazua than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Renata Zarazua that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polina Iatcenko than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polina Iatcenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Renata Zarazua - Polina Iatcenko Predictions

Users Predictions: Renata Zarazua will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Zarazua is ranked WTA: 71. Iatcenko is ranked WTA: 160.

Zarazua is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Iatcenko has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zarazua may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Renata Zarazua - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 46.94%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Renata Zarazua
WTA Monterrey
24.08.26	Clara Tauson - Renata Zarazua	2:1 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
11.08.26	Renata Zarazua - Yue Yuan	0:2 ✺
WTA Toronto
05.08.26	Renata Zarazua - Leylah Annie Fernandez	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Renata Zarazua - Tamara Korpatsch	2:1 ✺
WTA Memphis
01.08.26	Darja Vidmanova - Renata Zarazua	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWL
- Polina Iatcenko
WTA US Open
27.08.26	Polina Iatcenko - Andrea Lazaro Garcia	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Lucia Bronzetti - Polina Iatcenko	1:2 ✺
24.08.26	Polina Iatcenko - Julie Struplova	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
11.08.26	Polina Iatcenko - Claire Liu	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.08.26	Polina Iatcenko - Caroline Dolehide	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLL

Upcoming Matches