Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MARRAKECH (MOROCCO), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 4 April 2023, Tuesday


	Riccardo Bonadio		Christopher OConnell

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.14	1.71
	2.03	1.73
	2.08	1.82
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.08	1.75	Watch
	2.08	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.72)	1.74 ↓ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riccardo Bonadio
45.6%

Christopher OConnell
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riccardo Bonadio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Riccardo Bonadio's form might have worsened.

Christopher OConnell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Christopher OConnell's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riccardo Bonadio than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Riccardo Bonadio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Christopher OConnell, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Riccardo Bonadio - Christopher OConnell Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Bonadio will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). OConnell will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for OConnell: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Bonadio is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

O'Connell is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

O'Connell could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riccardo Bonadio
ATP Marrakech
03.04.23	Riccardo Bonadio - Arthur Cazaux	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	Riccardo Bonadio - Pablo Andujar-Alba	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.03.23	Riccardo Bonadio - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
17.03.23	Riccardo Bonadio - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
15.03.23	Riccardo Bonadio - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLLW
- Christopher OConnell
ATP Miami
23.03.23	Richard Gasquet - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
21.03.23	Christopher OConnell - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
20.03.23	Christopher OConnell - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.03.23	Christopher OConnell - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.23	Christopher OConnell - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLL

Riccardo Bonadio - Christopher OConnell: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide