Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday


	Christopher OConnell		Alejandro Tabilo

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
			Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.63	1.54
	2.52	1.50	Watch
			Watch
	2.67	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.36)	1.51 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christopher OConnell
36.7%

Alejandro Tabilo
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christopher OConnell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.5%	0%	90.5%

Christopher OConnell - Alejandro Tabilo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Tabilo (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alejandro Tabilo will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alejandro Tabilo will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. OConnell (votes: 1 - 10%). Tabilo (votes: 9 - 90%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

OConnell is ranked ATP: 103. Tabilo is ranked ATP: 112.

OConnell has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Tabilo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

OConnell may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tabilo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Tabilo will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, OConnell won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christopher OConnell
ATP Chengdu
19.09.25	Yi Zhou - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Quentin Halys - Christopher OConnell	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.09.25	Christopher OConnell - Alejandro Tabilo	O'Connell C. retired ✺
12.09.25	Christopher OConnell - Marat Sharipov	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Christopher OConnell - Christopher Eubanks	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WW?WW
- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Chengdu
19.09.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Jordan Thompson - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Lloyd Harris	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Rigele Te	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.09.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.09.25	Christopher OConnell - Alejandro Tabilo	O'Connell C. retired
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Christopher OConnell	2:0
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.23	Christopher OConnell - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2

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