The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Riccardo Bonadio 49.8%
Francesco Passaro 50.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.5%
35.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.9%
34.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Riccardo Bonadio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Riccardo Bonadio's form might have worsened.
Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francesco Passaro's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riccardo Bonadio than the current prediction. (+16.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Riccardo Bonadio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-16.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francesco Passaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
0%
71.4%
Riccardo Bonadio - Francesco Passaro Predictions
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Bonadio will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Passaro will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Passaro: 52.1% – 90.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Two players are playing changeable.
Bonadio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Bonadio won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.
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