Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US OPEN (USA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 28 August 2023, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York)


	Rinky Hijikata		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.74	2.1
	1.77	2.11
	1.86	2.05
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.73	2.11	Watch
	1.75	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.62)	2.1 ↓ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rinky Hijikata
54.4%

Pavel Kotov
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rinky Hijikata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rinky Hijikata than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Rinky Hijikata - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Hijikata will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Kotov will win (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hijikata: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Kotov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rinky Hijikata
ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.23	Borna Coric - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
21.08.23	Illya Marchenko - Rinky Hijikata	1:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
12.08.23	Rinky Hijikata - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.08.23	Adam Walton - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
09.08.23	Alexander Ritschard - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLW
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Winston-Salem
21.08.23	Pavel Kotov - Mitchell Krueger	0:2 ✺
ATP Hamburg
22.07.23	Pavel Kotov - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
20.07.23	Pavel Kotov - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
18.07.23	Marco Cecchinato - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
17.07.23	Pavel Kotov - Enzo Couacaud	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWW

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