Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CARY 2 (USA), HARD - FINAL

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday


	Rinky Hijikata		Zachary Svajda

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.68	2.28
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.27	Watch
	1.65	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.78)	2.25 ↑ (1.95)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rinky Hijikata
58.1%

Zachary Svajda
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rinky Hijikata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rinky Hijikata's performance.

Zachary Svajda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zachary Svajda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rinky Hijikata than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rinky Hijikata that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zachary Svajda than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zachary Svajda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.5%	0%	9.5%

Rinky Hijikata - Zachary Svajda Predictions

Users Predictions: Rinky Hijikata will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Svajda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hijikata won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rinky Hijikata
ATP Challenger
16.09.23	Rinky Hijikata - Patrick Kypson	2:0 ✺
15.09.23	Rinky Hijikata - Pedro Vives Marcos	2:0 ✺
14.09.23	Rinky Hijikata - Christian Langmo	2:1 ✺
13.09.23	Rinky Hijikata - Pedro Rodenas	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
03.09.23	Rinky Hijikata - Francis Tiafoe	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWL
- Zachary Svajda
ATP Challenger
16.09.23	Zachary Svajda - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
15.09.23	Zachary Svajda - Toby Samuel	2:1 ✺
13.09.23	Zachary Svajda - Garrett Johns	2:0 ✺
11.09.23	Zachary Svajda - Ethan Quinn	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.23	Zachary Svajda - Francisco Cerundolo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.09.21	Zachary Svajda - Rinky Hijikata	2:0

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