Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shenzhen 3 (China), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 April 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Yan B. (Chn)


	Rio Noguchi		Alex Bolt

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.2	1.62
	2.25	1.67
	2.25	1.67
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.38	1.55	Watch
	2.24	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.74)	1.61 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Noguchi
41.8%

Alex Bolt
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio Noguchi's performance.

Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Bolt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Noguchi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Bolt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rio Noguchi - Alex Bolt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Noguchi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bolt will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Noguchi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
23.04.24	Rio Noguchi - Ramkumar Ramanathan	2:0 ✺
22.04.24	Rio Noguchi - Yaojie Zeng	2:1 ✺
15.04.24	Rio Noguchi - James McCabe	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Rio Noguchi - Mukund Sasikumar	2:0 ✺
09.04.24	Illya Marchenko - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWL
- Alex Bolt
ATP Challenger
16.04.24	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
15.04.24	Alex Bolt - Jules Marie	2:1 ✺
08.04.24	Illya Marchenko - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.03.24	Alex Bolt - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
22.03.24	Alex Bolt - Blake Ellis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
23.03.24	Alex Bolt - Rio Noguchi	2:0
07.02.23	Rio Noguchi - Alex Bolt	0:2

Rio Noguchi - Alex Bolt: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide