Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Busan (South Korea), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 April 2024, Monday


	Rio Noguchi		Bu Yunchaokete

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.6	1.44
	2.5	1.48	Watch
	2.62	1.5
	2.62	1.5
	2.62	1.44
	2.8	1.41	Watch
	2.7	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.79)	1.45 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Noguchi
35.3%

Bu Yunchaokete
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

67.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Bu Yunchaokete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Rio Noguchi - Bu Yunchaokete Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Noguchi is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Yunchaokete is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Noguchi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Yunchaokete will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
07.04.24	Rio Noguchi - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Rio Noguchi - Woobin Shin	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.03.24	Alex Bolt - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
22.03.24	Shintaro Imai - Rio Noguchi	1:2 ✺
22.03.24	Rio Noguchi - Luke Saville	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLWW
- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Challenger
22.03.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
21.03.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:0 ✺
19.03.24	Nicola Kuhn - Bu Yunchaokete	1:2 ✺
13.03.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
12.03.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Sebastian Fanselow	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWLW

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