Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 SWAN HILL (AUSTRALIA), GRASS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 22 March 2024, Friday


	Rio Noguchi		Luke Saville

	1	2
	2.15	1.6
	2.2	1.6
	2.25	1.61
	2.29	1.6
	2.1	1.67
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.17	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.7)	1.61 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Noguchi
42.4%

Luke Saville
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio Noguchi's performance.

Luke Saville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luke Saville might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Noguchi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luke Saville than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luke Saville could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Noguchi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Saville is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Saville could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Saville will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Saville to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Noguchi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Noguchi
ITF Tournaments
21.03.24	Rio Noguchi - Pavle Marinkov	2:0 ✺
18.03.24	Rio Noguchi - Jayden Court	2:0 ✺
13.03.24	Rio Noguchi - Thomas Braithwaite	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.02.24	Alexey Zakharov - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Yunseong Chung - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWLLL
- Luke Saville
ITF Tournaments
21.03.24	Tomislav Edward Papac - Luke Saville	0:2 ✺
19.03.24	Cade Birrell - Luke Saville	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Alex Bolt - Luke Saville	2:0 ✺
15.03.24	James McCabe - Luke Saville	1:2 ✺
14.03.24	Joshua Charlton - Luke Saville	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.10.22	Luke Saville - Rio Noguchi	1:2

Rio Noguchi - Luke Saville: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide