Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bloomfield Hills, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 July 2025, Tuesday


	Rio Noguchi		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.85	1.36
	2.95	1.35	Watch
	3.15	1.36
	2.93	1.37	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.99	1.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3)	1.36 (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Noguchi
31.3%

Shintaro Mochizuki
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Rio Noguchi - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mochizuki (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Noguchi is ranked ATP: 209. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 125.

Recent performances by Noguchi have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mochizuki is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Noguchi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mochizuki is the team to beat.

We predict that Mochizuki will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Rio Noguchi - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.19%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
17.07.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
16.07.25	Rio Noguchi - Philip Sekulic	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Rio Noguchi - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
10.07.25	Rio Noguchi - Nicolas Arseneault	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Rio Noguchi - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLWW
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Karen Khachanov	2:3 ✺
01.07.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Giulio Zeppieri	3:2 ✺
26.06.25	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:3 ✺
25.06.25	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
23.06.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWW

Rio Noguchi - Shintaro Mochizuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide