Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pune (India), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 February 2025, Tuesday


	Rio Noguchi		Kyrian Jacquet

	1	2
	4	1.22	Watch
	3.85	1.2	Watch
	3.95	1.26
	3.73	1.26	Watch
	4	1.22	Watch
	3.9	1.23	Watch
	3.85	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (2.92)	1.23 ↓ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Noguchi
23.9%

Kyrian Jacquet
76.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rio Noguchi's form might have worsened.

Kyrian Jacquet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kyrian Jacquet's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rio Noguchi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyrian Jacquet than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kyrian Jacquet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Rio Noguchi - Kyrian Jacquet Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Noguchi will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Jacquet will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jacquet: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Noguchi is ranked ATP: 242. Jacquet is ranked ATP: 204.

Noguchi is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Jacquet in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Noguchi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
11.02.25	Hynek Barton - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
07.02.25	Elias Ymer - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
05.02.25	Rio Noguchi - Jacopo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
03.02.25	Kimmer Coppejans - Rio Noguchi	Coppejans K. retired ✺
15.01.25	Murphy Cassone - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLW?L
- Kyrian Jacquet
ATP Challenger
16.02.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Vit Kopriva - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
14.02.25	Michael Geerts - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Jay Clarke - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWW

Rio Noguchi - Kyrian Jacquet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide