Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nonthaburi 3 (Thailand), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 January 2025, Wednesday


	Murphy Cassone		Rio Noguchi

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.66	2.14
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.6	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.78)	2.18 ↑ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murphy Cassone
57.3%

Rio Noguchi
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murphy Cassone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Murphy Cassone's performance.

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rio Noguchi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Murphy Cassone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Noguchi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Murphy Cassone - Rio Noguchi Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cassone will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Noguchi will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Noguchi: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cassone is ranked ATP: 306. Noguchi is ranked ATP: 254.

Recent matches Cassone is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Noguchi is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Cassone will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cassone won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murphy Cassone
ATP Challenger
14.01.25	Valentin Vacherot - Murphy Cassone	1:2 ✺
13.01.25	Enrico Dalla Valle - Murphy Cassone	Cassone M. walkover ✺
12.01.25	Murphy Cassone - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
09.01.25	Rio Noguchi - Murphy Cassone	2:1 ✺
08.01.25	Jakub Paul - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 W?WLW
- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
14.01.25	Timofey Skatov - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
12.01.25	Andre Ilagan - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
12.01.25	Yuttana Charoenphon - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
10.01.25	Rio Noguchi - Jie Cui	2:0 ✺
09.01.25	Rio Noguchi - Murphy Cassone	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.01.25	Rio Noguchi - Murphy Cassone	2:1

Murphy Cassone - Rio Noguchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide