Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shenzhen 4, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Kyrian Jacquet		Sho Shimabukuro

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
			Watch
	2.23	1.7
	1.85	1.84	Watch
	1.88	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.85)	1.77 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyrian Jacquet
47%

Sho Shimabukuro
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyrian Jacquet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyrian Jacquet than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Kyrian Jacquet - Sho Shimabukuro Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Jacquet will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Shimabukuro will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shimabukuro: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Shimabukuro (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sho Shimabukuro will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Shimabukuro (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jacquet is ranked ATP: 183. Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 212.

Now, both players are in good form.

Shimabukuro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Shimabukuro will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jacquet won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Sho Shimabukuro - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kyrian Jacquet
ATP Challenger
17.10.25	Kaichi Uchida - Kyrian Jacquet	1:2 ✺
15.10.25	Omar Jasika - Kyrian Jacquet	1:2 ✺
14.10.25	S D Prajwal Dev - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
09.10.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Kasidit Samrej	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLW
- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Challenger
17.10.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
16.10.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Sergey Fomin	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
25.09.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
25.09.25	Tomas Machac - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.02.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0

Kyrian Jacquet - Sho Shimabukuro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide