Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 SWAN HILL (AUSTRALIA), GRASS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 21 March 2024, Thursday


	Rio Noguchi		Pavle Marinkov

	1	2
	1.25	3.5
	1.25	3.55
	1.09	9.11
	1.28	3.38
	1.29	3.5
	1.29	3.37	Watch
	1.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.4)	4.26 ↑ (2.72)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Noguchi
77.4%

Pavle Marinkov
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio Noguchi's performance.

Pavle Marinkov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pavle Marinkov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Noguchi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavle Marinkov than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pavle Marinkov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Noguchi is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Marinkov is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Noguchi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Noguchi will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Noguchi
ITF Tournaments
18.03.24	Rio Noguchi - Jayden Court	2:0 ✺
13.03.24	Rio Noguchi - Thomas Braithwaite	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.02.24	Alexey Zakharov - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Yunseong Chung - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Rio Noguchi - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL
- Pavle Marinkov
ITF Tournaments
19.03.24	Sam Ryan Ziegann - Pavle Marinkov	0:2 ✺
13.03.24	Pavle Marinkov - Luke Saville	0:2 ✺
12.03.24	Pavle Marinkov - Shintaro Imai	2:1 ✺
28.02.24	Hiroki Moriya - Pavle Marinkov	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.02.24	Takuya Kumasaka - Pavle Marinkov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWLL

Rio Noguchi - Pavle Marinkov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide