Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BURNIE 2 (AUSTRALIA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday


	Rio Noguchi		Dane Sweeny

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.35	1.55	Watch
	2.43	1.58
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.53	1.49	Watch
	2.43	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.58)	1.53 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Noguchi
38.6%

Dane Sweeny
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Dane Sweeny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Noguchi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dane Sweeny could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rio Noguchi - Dane Sweeny Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Noguchi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sweeny will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Noguchi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
31.01.24	Rio Noguchi - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
29.01.24	Rio Noguchi - Blake Mott	2:0 ✺
12.01.24	Rio Noguchi - Manuel Guinard	0:2 ✺
10.01.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Rio Noguchi	Uchiyama Y. retired ✺
09.01.24	Rio Noguchi - Maximus Jones	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWL?W
- Dane Sweeny
ATP Challenger
01.02.24	Omar Jasika - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
31.01.24	Rio Noguchi - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
29.01.24	Moerani Bouzige - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.24	Dane Sweeny - Francisco Cerundolo	2:3 ✺
11.01.24	Dane Sweeny - Zizou Bergs	Bergs Z. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
31.01.24	Rio Noguchi - Dane Sweeny	0:2
13.09.23	Dane Sweeny - Rio Noguchi	2:0

Rio Noguchi - Dane Sweeny: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide