Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuxi, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday


	Rio Noguchi		Petr Bar-Biryukov

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.49	2.44
	1.55	2.57
	1.48	2.46	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.49	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.4)	2.49 ↓ (2.7)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Noguchi
62.3%

Petr Bar-Biryukov
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Petr Bar-Biryukov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rio Noguchi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Bar-Biryukov than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petr Bar-Biryukov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Rio Noguchi - Petr Bar Biryukov Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Noguchi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Rio Noguchi will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Noguchi is ranked ATP: 204. Bar-Biryukov is ranked ATP: 337.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Bar-Biryukov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Noguchi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Petr Bar-Biryukov - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.15%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Rio Noguchi - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Rio Noguchi - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
16.04.26	Alex Bolt - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Rio Noguchi - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLLW
- Petr Bar-Biryukov
ATP Challenger
04.05.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Daniel Masur	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Tsung-Hao Huang	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Alexandr Binda	1:2 ✺
28.04.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Sora Fukuda	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Dali Blanch	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWL

Rio Noguchi - Petr Bar-Biryukov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide