Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Gwangju, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday


	Rio Noguchi		Alexis Galarneau

	1	2
			Watch
	2	1.7	Watch
	2.17	1.75
	2.02	1.7	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.06	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.89)	1.7 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Noguchi
45.1%

Alexis Galarneau
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Rio Noguchi - Alexis Galarneau Predictions

Users Predictions: Rio Noguchi will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Noguchi is ranked ATP: 215. Galarneau is ranked ATP: 203.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Noguchi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Noguchi could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Noguchi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Rio Noguchi - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 48.71%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Alexis Galarneau - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.29%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
16.04.26	Alex Bolt - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Rio Noguchi - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Rio Noguchi - Clement Chidekh	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Rio Noguchi - Tung-Lin Wu	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Rio Noguchi - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWWLW
- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
16.04.26	August Holmgren - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Alexis Galarneau - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
29.03.26	Liam Draxl - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Gabriel Debru - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.03.26	Alexis Galarneau - Luka Pavlovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.07.25	Alexis Galarneau - Rio Noguchi	2:0

Rio Noguchi - Alexis Galarneau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide