Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Chisinau, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 May 2025, Wednesday


	Robert Strombachs		Jay Clarke

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.35	Watch
	3.03	1.4
	3.08	1.35	Watch
			Watch
	2.9	1.38	Watch
	3.2	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.24)	1.36 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Robert Strombachs
31.1%

Jay Clarke
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Robert Strombachs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Robert Strombachs's form might have worsened.

Jay Clarke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jay Clarke's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Robert Strombachs than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Robert Strombachs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jay Clarke, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Robert Strombachs - Jay Clarke Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Strombachs (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Strombachs (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Strombachs is ranked ATP: 336. Clarke is ranked ATP: 250.

In recent matches, Strombachs has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Clarke is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Clarke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Clarke is considered a favorite.

We predict that Clarke will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Jay Clarke - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 58.73%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Robert Strombachs
ATP Challenger
21.05.25	Robert Strombachs - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
19.05.25	Robert Strombachs - Kaichi Uchida	Canceled ✺
19.05.25	Robert Strombachs - Kasidit Samrej	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.05.25	Robert Strombachs - Lukas Pokorny	0:2 ✺
08.05.25	Fabrizio Andaloro - Robert Strombachs	Strombachs R. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 L?WL?
- Jay Clarke
ATP Challenger
24.05.25	Jay Clarke - Nerman Fatic	2:0 ✺
23.05.25	Hugo Dellien - Jay Clarke	0:2 ✺
22.05.25	Jay Clarke - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
21.05.25	Jay Clarke - Pedro Cachin	2:0 ✺
20.05.25	Jay Clarke - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWWWW

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