Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SOFIA (BULGARIA), HARD (INDOOR)

Date: 7 November 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: SOFIA (BULGARIA) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Indoor Hard


	Roberto Bautista-Agut		Alexei Popyrin

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Roberto Bautista-Agut
43.8%

Alexei Popyrin
56.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Popyrin Alexei - withdrawn.

Bautista-Agut is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Popyrin is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bautista-Agut could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Paris
01.11.23	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
30.10.23	Jiri Lehecka - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
ATP Basel
23.10.23	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:1 ✺
ATP Stockholm
16.10.23	Elias Ymer - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.10.23	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Paris
30.10.23	Nicolas Jarry - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
ATP Vienna
24.10.23	Alexei Popyrin - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
20.10.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Alexei Popyrin	2:1 ✺
18.10.23	Christian Garin - Alexei Popyrin	1:2 ✺
17.10.23	Alexei Popyrin - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLWW

Roberto Bautista-Agut - Alexei Popyrin