Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing (China), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday


	Jiri Lehecka		Roberto Bautista-Agut

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.58	2.33	Watch
	1.66	2.36
	1.61	2.38	Watch
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.63	2.29	Watch
	1.58	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.5)	2.32 ↓ (2.6)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiri Lehecka
58.9%

Roberto Bautista-Agut
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiri Lehecka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Roberto Bautista-Agut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jiri Lehecka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roberto Bautista-Agut, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Jiri Lehecka - Roberto Bautista Agut Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Lehecka will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Bautista-Agut will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bautista-Agut: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lehecka is ranked ATP: 37. Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 61.

Recent matches Lehecka is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bautista-Agut is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lehecka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lehecka will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lehecka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiri Lehecka
ATP Beijing
26.09.24	Jiri Lehecka - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
14.09.24	Jiri Lehecka - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.24	Andrey Rublev - Jiri Lehecka	3:0 ✺
28.08.24	Mitchell Krueger - Jiri Lehecka	2:3 ✺
26.08.24	Marton Fucsovics - Jiri Lehecka	Fucsovics M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLW?
- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Beijing
27.09.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
26.09.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Grigor Dimitrov	Canceled ✺
25.09.24	Roman Safiullin - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2 ✺
24.09.24	Billy Harris - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2 ✺
24.09.24	Yi Zhou - Roberto Bautista-Agut	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 W?WW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
30.10.23	Jiri Lehecka - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2
ATP Kitzbuhel
28.07.22	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Jiri Lehecka	2:1

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