Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday


	Alexei Popyrin		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.6	1.48	Watch
	2.55	1.52	Watch
	2.81	1.49
	2.45	1.54	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.3)	1.51 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexei Popyrin
36.9%

Andrey Rublev
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Alexei Popyrin - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Popyrin will win (votes: 12 - 60%). Rublev will win (votes: 8 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Popyrin: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Popyrin (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Rublev (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Games - Popyrin (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Popyrin (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Popyrin (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Rublev (votes: 5 - 41.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Popyrin is ranked ATP: 19. Rublev is ranked ATP: 11.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Rublev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rublev could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Rublev will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Popyrin won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Andrey Rublev - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 58.67%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Alexei Popyrin - Martin Landaluce	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
04.08.25	Alexander Zverev - Alexei Popyrin	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Alexei Popyrin - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:1 ✺
31.07.25	Daniil Medvedev - Alexei Popyrin	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Nicolas Arseneault - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLWWW
- Andrey Rublev
ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Learner Tien - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
05.08.25	Andrey Rublev - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
03.08.25	Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Davidovich Fokina A. retired ✺
01.08.25	Andrey Rublev - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
30.07.25	Andrey Rublev - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WL?WW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Montreal
12.08.24	Andrey Rublev - Alexei Popyrin	0:2
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.24	Alexei Popyrin - Andrey Rublev	2:0
ATP Vienna
24.10.23	Alexei Popyrin - Andrey Rublev	0:2

Alexei Popyrin - Andrey Rublev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide