The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Roberto Bautista-Agut 50.4%
Luca Van Assche 49.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.4%
41.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.7%
40.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roberto Bautista-Agut's form might have worsened.
Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Van Assche's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roberto Bautista-Agut, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Van Assche, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
0%
60%
Roberto Bautista Agut - Luca Van Assche Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Bautista-Agut will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Van Assche will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Confidence interval (95%) for Van Assche: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 60.Van Assche is ranked ATP: 119.
Recent matches Bautista-Agut is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Van Assche is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Van Assche could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.