Match Info

Date: 24 October 2021, Sunday


	Marin Cilic		Aslan Karatsev

	1	2
	2.2	1.66	Watch
	2.15	1.67
	2.17	1.68	Watch
	2.08	1.7
	2.19	1.76
	2.2	1.67
	2.07	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.11)	1.71 ↓ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marin Cilic
44.3%

Aslan Karatsev
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marin Cilic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	0%	78.6%

Marin Cilic - Aslan Karatsev Predictions

Users Predictions: Aslan Karatsev will win (55 of 70 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.96% – 88.18%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two players.

Cilic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Karatsev won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marin Cilic
ATP Moscow
23.10.21	Richard Berankis - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
22.10.21	Pedro Martinez Portero - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
20.10.21	Tommy Paul - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
18.10.21	Damir Dzumhur - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.21	Marin Cilic - Philipp Kohlschreiber	Cilic M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWW?
- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Moscow
23.10.21	Karen Khachanov - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
22.10.21	Gilles Simon - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
21.10.21	Egor Gerasimov - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
13.10.21	Aslan Karatsev - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
11.10.21	Denis Shapovalov - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
17.08.21	Aslan Karatsev - Marin Cilic	0:2

Marin Cilic - Aslan Karatsev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide