Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday


	Roberto Bautista-Agut		Valentin Royer

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2
	1.85	2.03
	1.75	1.98	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.75	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.65)	1.99 ↓ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Bautista-Agut
53.2%

Valentin Royer
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Valentin Royer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Roberto Bautista Agut - Valentin Royer Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bautista-Agut will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Royer will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bautista-Agut (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 93. Royer is ranked ATP: 60.

In recent matches, Bautista-Agut has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Royer's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Royer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Roberto Bautista-Agut - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.12%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Valentin Royer - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.88%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Challenger
11.03.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Jack Draper	1:2 ✺
05.03.26	Fabian Marozsan - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
09.02.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Thijs Boogaard	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWL?
- Valentin Royer
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.26	Valentin Royer - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Andrey Rublev - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
18.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Valentin Royer - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
09.02.26	Valentin Royer - Christopher OConnell	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL

Roberto Bautista-Agut - Valentin Royer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide