Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday


	Valentin Royer		Benjamin Bonzi

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
			Watch
	1.94	1.87	Watch
	2	1.89
	1.9	1.9	Watch
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.87)	1.88 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Royer
49.2%

Benjamin Bonzi
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Royer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Benjamin Bonzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.9%	0%	87.1%

Valentin Royer - Benjamin Bonzi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Benjamin Bonzi will win (27 of 31 users predict this - 87.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.3% – 98.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Benjamin Bonzi will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Royer is ranked ATP: 60. Bonzi is ranked ATP: 111.

Royer is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bonzi is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bonzi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Bonzi will win today's game, with odds of 1.81.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Royer won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Valentin Royer - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Benjamin Bonzi - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 59% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Royer
ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Andrey Rublev - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
18.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Valentin Royer - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
09.02.26	Valentin Royer - Christopher OConnell	1:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
03.02.26	Valentin Royer - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL
- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
02.03.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.02.26	Alexander Blockx - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Justin Engel - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Daniil Glinka - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Brussels
15.10.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Valentin Royer	2:1

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