The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Roberto Carballes Baena 41.9%
Pedro Martinez Portero 58.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.9%
51.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.4%
51.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roberto Carballes Baena's form might have worsened.
Pedro Martinez Portero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pedro Martinez Portero's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pedro Martinez Portero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25.9%
0%
74.1%
Roberto Carballes Baena - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Carballes Baena will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). Martinez Portero will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Martinez Portero: 57.6% – 90.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Right away both players are in a satisfying form.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Carballes Baena won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.
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