Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Roberto Carballes Baena		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.98	1.8	Watch
	1.98	1.8	Watch
	1.92	1.91
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	1.9	1.9	Watch
	1.98	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.9)	1.84 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Carballes Baena
48.3%

Luciano Darderi
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.8%	0%	19.2%

Roberto Carballes Baena - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Users Predictions: Roberto Carballes Baena will win (21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.62% – 95.92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roberto Carballes Baena will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 51. Darderi is ranked ATP: 57.

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Carballes Baena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Darderi to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Carballes Baena won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Marrakech
04.04.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
31.03.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Taha Baadi	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.25	Brandon Nakashima - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
19.03.25	Christopher OConnell - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLW
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Marrakech
04.04.25	Luciano Darderi - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
03.04.25	Luciano Darderi - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
02.04.25	Luciano Darderi - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.03.25	Luciano Darderi - Vit Kopriva	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Luciano Darderi - Dalibor Svrcina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.03.22	Roberto Carballes Baena - Luciano Darderi	2:0
09.09.21	Roberto Carballes Baena - Luciano Darderi	2:0

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