Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BUENOS AIRES (ARGENTINA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 12 February 2024, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub
Portugal	Sport TV5
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Roberto Carballes Baena		Tomas Martin Etcheverry

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.35	Watch
	3.28	1.38
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3.19	1.36	Watch
	3	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.64)	1.38 ↓ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Carballes Baena
30.9%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
69.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tomas Martin Etcheverry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Roberto Carballes Baena - Tomas Martin Etcheverry Predictions

Users Predictions: Tomas Martin Etcheverry will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Carballes Baena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Etcheverry is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Carballes Baena won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Cordoba
07.02.24	Facundo Bagnis - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
06.02.24	Mariano Navone - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
14.01.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Hugo Gaston	1:3 ✺
14.01.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Borna Gojo	Canceled ✺
ATP Auckland
10.01.24	Ben Shelton - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWL?L
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Cordoba
09.02.24	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
07.02.24	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
04.02.24	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Dmitry Popko	Canceled ✺
03.02.24	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.24	Novak Djokovic - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LW?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Buenos Aires
15.02.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2

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