Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro (Brazil), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 February 2025, Tuesday


	Mariano Navone		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.53	2.45	Watch
	1.56	2.57
	1.56	2.41	Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.47	Watch
	1.53	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.64)	2.48 ↑ (2.27)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariano Navone
61.7%

Roberto Carballes Baena
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	0%	13.6%

Mariano Navone - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: Mariano Navone will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Navone is ranked ATP: 47. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 50.

Recent matches Navone is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carballes Baena is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carballes Baena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Navone will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Navone won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Navone
ATP Buenos Aires
14.02.25	Joao Fonseca - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
13.02.25	Mariano Navone - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0 ✺
10.02.25	Mariano Navone - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
31.01.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
30.01.25	Casper Ruud - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWWL
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Buenos Aires
10.02.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
05.02.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Michael Mmoh	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
02.02.25	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Roberto Carballes Baena	Canceled ✺
01.02.25	Jerome Kym - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
16.01.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Tommy Paul	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LL?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cordoba
06.02.24	Mariano Navone - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2

Mariano Navone - Roberto Carballes Baena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide