Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Ithaca, NY, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ithaca 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Rodrigo Fernandes		Mikael Arseneault

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Rodrigo Fernandes
53%

Mikael Arseneault
47%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodrigo Fernandes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rodrigo Fernandes's form might have worsened.

Mikael Arseneault has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mikael Arseneault's recent form is better than expected.

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Fernandes is ranked ATP: 1134., and Arseneault is ranked ATP: 1014..

Arseneault could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Fernandes is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodrigo Fernandes
ITF Tournaments
21.10.26	Eric David Verdes - Rodrigo Fernandes	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Rodrigo Fernandes - Pavel Lagutin	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Philip Henning - Rodrigo Fernandes	1:2 ✺
20.08.26	Rodrigo Fernandes - Izan Almazan Valiente	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Rodrigo Fernandes - Tomas Quesada Perez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WLWWW
- Mikael Arseneault
ITF Tournaments
20.10.26	Mikael Arseneault - Matt Kuhar	2:0 ✺
15.10.26	William Jansen - Mikael Arseneault	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Matisse Farzam - Mikael Arseneault	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.07.26	Mikael Arseneault - James Kent Trotter	1:2 ✺
21.07.26	Mikael Arseneault - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLL

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodrigo Fernandes
ITF Tournaments
24.10.26	Oliver Ojakaar - Rodrigo Fernandes	✺

Rodrigo Fernandes - Mikael Arseneault: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide