Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Perugia, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 June 2025, Thursday


	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez		Federico Arnaboldi

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.6	Watch
			Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.29	1.58	Watch
	2.15	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.51)	1.62 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
42.8%

Federico Arnaboldi
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez's performance.

Federico Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Federico Arnaboldi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Federico Arnaboldi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Federico Arnaboldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Pacheco Mendez will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Arnaboldi will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pacheco Mendez (votes: 1 - 50%). Arnaboldi (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pacheco Mendez is ranked ATP: 262. Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 183.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Arnaboldi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Arnaboldi could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
ATP Challenger
10.06.25	Marco Cecchinato - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Enrico Dalla Valle - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	Canceled ✺
06.06.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
05.06.25	Sumit Nagal - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	1:2 ✺
02.06.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 W?LWW
- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
10.06.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Andrea Picchione	2:1 ✺
10.06.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Chun Hsin Tseng	Canceled ✺
27.05.25	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
23.05.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Maximilian Marterer	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Michael Mmoh	Arnaboldi F. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 W?LL?

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Federico Arnaboldi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide