Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phan Thiet 4, hard - Final

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez		Ilia Simakin

	1	2
	2.10	1.65
	2.08	1.67
	2.12	1.66	Watch
	2.2	1.65
	1.8	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.77)	1.71 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
45.3%

Ilia Simakin
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez's form might have worsened.

Ilia Simakin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilia Simakin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilia Simakin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Ilia Simakin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pacheco Mendez is ranked ATP: 269., and Simakin is ranked ATP: 177..

Pacheco Mendez has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Simakin is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Pacheco Mendez could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Ilia Simakin - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 48.63%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
ATP Challenger
19.09.26	Moise Kouame - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Philip Sekulic	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Arthur Weber	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Sergio Callejon Hernando	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Max Purcell - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWL
- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
18.09.26	Ilia Simakin - Hunter Heck	2:1 ✺
17.09.26	Cruz Hewitt - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
17.09.26	Blake Ellis - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
15.09.26	Timofei Derepasko - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Arthur Weber - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWW

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Ilia Simakin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide