Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: GUAYAQUIL (ECUADOR), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 2 November 2023, Thursday


	Roman Andres Burruchaga		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.87
	1.98	1.75	Watch
	2.02	1.83
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.8	1.93	Watch
	1.82	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.09)	1.86 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Andres Burruchaga
49.8%

Lukas Neumayer
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Andres Burruchaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roman Andres Burruchaga's performance.

Lukas Neumayer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lukas Neumayer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Andres Burruchaga than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roman Andres Burruchaga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lukas Neumayer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Roman Andres Burruchaga - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Users Predictions: Roman Andres Burruchaga will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Neumayer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Burruchaga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Andres Burruchaga
ATP Challenger
31.10.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
28.10.23	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Guido Andreozzi	0:2 ✺
25.10.23	Lukas Neumayer - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
23.10.23	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida	2:0 ✺
18.10.23	Vit Kopriva - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWWL
- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
31.10.23	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Lukas Neumayer	1:2 ✺
25.10.23	Lukas Neumayer - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
23.10.23	Vit Kopriva - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
16.10.23	Lukas Neumayer - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	0:2 ✺
10.10.23	Lukas Neumayer - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.10.23	Lukas Neumayer - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2
ITF Tournaments
06.03.22	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Lukas Neumayer	1:2

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