Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Almaty (Kazakhstan), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday


	Roman Safiullin		Adrian Mannarino

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.39	2.9	Watch
	1.4	3.15
	1.44	2.89	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.41	2.93	Watch
	1.39	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.69)	2.95 ↑ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
67.7%

Adrian Mannarino
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roman Safiullin's performance.

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adrian Mannarino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roman Safiullin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adrian Mannarino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Roman Safiullin - Adrian Mannarino Predictions

Users Predictions: Roman Safiullin will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Safiullin is ranked ATP: 61. Mannarino is ranked ATP: 53.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Mannarino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Safiullin will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Safiullin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Shanghai
09.10.24	Roman Safiullin - Novak Djokovic	0:2 ✺
08.10.24	Francis Tiafoe - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
07.10.24	Roman Safiullin - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
03.10.24	Beibit Zhukayev - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
28.09.24	Jannik Sinner - Roman Safiullin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWWL
- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Shanghai
02.10.24	Adrian Mannarino - Zachary Svajda	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
28.09.24	Adrian Mannarino - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
25.09.24	Adrian Mannarino - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
ATP Chengdu
22.09.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Yi Zhou - Adrian Mannarino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Stockholm
19.10.23	Roman Safiullin - Adrian Mannarino	0:2
ATP Moscow
19.10.21	Roman Safiullin - Adrian Mannarino	1:2

Upcoming Matches