Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 7 October 2024, Monday


	Roman Safiullin		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.6	2.3	Watch
	1.27	3.5	Watch
	1.66	2.33
	1.33	3.43	Watch
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.33	3.37	Watch
	1.27	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.83)	2.87 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
66.1%

Alexander Bublik
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roman Safiullin's performance.

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Bublik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roman Safiullin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Bublik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Roman Safiullin - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Safiullin will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Bublik will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Safiullin: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Safiullin is ranked ATP: 61. Bublik is ranked ATP: 27.

Two players are playing changeable.

Bublik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Safiullin will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Safiullin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Last Results with these Odds

Roman Safiullin - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Shanghai
03.10.24	Beibit Zhukayev - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
28.09.24	Jannik Sinner - Roman Safiullin	2:1 ✺
26.09.24	Roman Safiullin - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
25.09.24	Roman Safiullin - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2 ✺
24.09.24	Roman Safiullin - Aoran Wang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLW
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Beijing
26.09.24	Alexander Bublik - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
22.09.24	Juncheng Shang - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Federico Agustin Gomez - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
15.09.24	Alexander Bublik - August Holmgren	Canceled ✺
14.09.24	Alexander Bublik - Elmer Moeller	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLW?L

Latest Head to Head

Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
27.05.20	Alexander Bublik - Roman Safiullin	0:2

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