Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Court Suzanne-Lenglen (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Francis Tiafoe		Roman Safiullin

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.41	2.95
	1.45	2.96
	1.44	2.8	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.42	2.89	Watch
	1.41	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.68)	2.92 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
67.3%

Roman Safiullin
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francis Tiafoe's performance.

Roman Safiullin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roman Safiullin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francis Tiafoe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roman Safiullin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Francis Tiafoe - Roman Safiullin Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Safiullin will win (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Tiafoe (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Safiullin (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 15. Safiullin is ranked ATP: 73.

Tiafoe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Safiullin has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tiafoe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tiafoe could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tiafoe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Roman Safiullin - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 43.23%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Hamburg
21.05.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
20.05.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Sebastian Ofner - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
30.04.25	Francis Tiafoe - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Francis Tiafoe - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLLW
- Roman Safiullin
ATP Roma
08.05.25	Alexander Bublik - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Roman Safiullin - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.04.25	Elmer Moller - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Dusan Lajovic - Roman Safiullin	Lajovic D. retired ✺
17.04.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLL?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
08.10.24	Francis Tiafoe - Roman Safiullin	1:2

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