Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Court Suzanne-Lenglen (Paris) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	17:10	Max
Croatia	16:10	Max
Czech Republic	16:10	Max
Denmark	16:10	Max
Finland	17:10	Max
France	16:10	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	16:10	Max
Norway	16:10	MAX
Poland	16:10	Max
Romania	17:10	Max
Serbia	16:10	Max
Slovenia	16:10	Max
Sweden	16:10	Max
Usa	10:10	Max


	Francis Tiafoe		Roman Safiullin

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.41	2.95
	1.45	2.96
	1.44	2.8	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.42	2.89	Watch
	1.41	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.68)	2.92 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
67.3%

Roman Safiullin
32.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francis Tiafoe's performance.

Roman Safiullin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roman Safiullin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francis Tiafoe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roman Safiullin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Francis Tiafoe - Roman Safiullin Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Safiullin will win (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Tiafoe (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Safiullin (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 15. Safiullin is ranked ATP: 73.

Tiafoe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Safiullin has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tiafoe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tiafoe could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tiafoe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Roman Safiullin - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 43.23%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Hamburg
21.05.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
20.05.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Sebastian Ofner - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
30.04.25	Francis Tiafoe - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Francis Tiafoe - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLLW
- Roman Safiullin
ATP Roma
08.05.25	Alexander Bublik - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Roman Safiullin - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.04.25	Elmer Moller - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Dusan Lajovic - Roman Safiullin	Lajovic D. retired ✺
17.04.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLL?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
08.10.24	Francis Tiafoe - Roman Safiullin	1:2

Francis Tiafoe - Roman Safiullin