Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cary (USA), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 16 August 2024, Friday

Referee: Rask C. (Den)


	Roman Safiullin		David Goffin

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.56	2.28
	1.58	2.49
	1.58	2.45	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.54	2.4	Watch
	1.56	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.85)	2.34 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
60%

David Goffin
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roman Safiullin's performance.

David Goffin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and David Goffin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roman Safiullin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for David Goffin than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that David Goffin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Roman Safiullin - David Goffin Predictions

Users Predictions: David Goffin will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Safiullin is ranked ATP: 66. Goffin is ranked ATP: 92.

Recent matches Safiullin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Goffin is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Goffin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Challenger
15.08.24	Roman Safiullin - Christopher Eubanks	2:0 ✺
13.08.24	Roman Safiullin - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
12.08.24	Roman Safiullin - Matteo Gigante	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
07.08.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
31.07.24	Roman Safiullin - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWWLL
- David Goffin
ATP Challenger
15.08.24	David Goffin - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
13.08.24	David Goffin - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
11.08.24	David Goffin - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:1 ✺
ATP Washington
31.07.24	David Goffin - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
29.07.24	David Goffin - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLW

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