Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal (Canada), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 7 August 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Murphy F. (Irl)


	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina		Roman Safiullin

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.87	1.9
	1.85	1.96
	1.98	1.9
	1.96	1.88	Watch
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.88	1.93	Watch
	1.85	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.62)	1.93 ↓ (2.31)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
50.6%

Roman Safiullin
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's form might have worsened.

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roman Safiullin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roman Safiullin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Roman Safiullin Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 7 - 20%). Safiullin will win (votes: 28 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Safiullin: 66.7% – 93.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 44. Safiullin is ranked ATP: 66.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Davidovich Fokina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Davidovich Fokina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Washington
01.08.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
31.07.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Mitchell Krueger	2:1 ✺
ATP Atlanta
26.07.24	Jordan Thompson - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
25.07.24	Reilly Opelka - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
22.07.24	Arthur Cazaux - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWW
- Roman Safiullin
ATP Olympic Games
31.07.24	Roman Safiullin - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
29.07.24	Roman Safiullin - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
28.07.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
16.07.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Roman Safiullin	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.24	Arthur Fils - Roman Safiullin	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.10.19	Roman Safiullin - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2

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