Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna (Austria), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday


	Kei Nishikori		Jack Draper

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	3.55	1.29	Watch
	3.54	1.33
	3.78	1.29	Watch
	3.6	1.29	Watch
	3.61	1.3	Watch
	3.55	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (2.85)	1.3 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kei Nishikori
26.7%

Jack Draper
73.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

66.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kei Nishikori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kei Nishikori's form might have worsened.

Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jack Draper's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kei Nishikori than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kei Nishikori, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jack Draper, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Kei Nishikori - Jack Draper Predictions

Users Predictions: Jack Draper will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nishikori is ranked ATP: 143. Draper is ranked ATP: 19.

Two players are playing changeable.

In this match Draper is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nishikori won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kei Nishikori
ATP Shanghai
04.10.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Kei Nishikori	2:0 ✺
02.10.24	Kei Nishikori - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
ATP Tokyo
29.09.24	Kei Nishikori - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:2 ✺
28.09.24	Jordan Thompson - Kei Nishikori	0:2 ✺
26.09.24	Marin Cilic - Kei Nishikori	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLWW
- Jack Draper
ATP Tokyo
29.09.24	Ugo Humbert - Jack Draper	Draper J. retired ✺
26.09.24	Jack Draper - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0 ✺
25.09.24	Jack Draper - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
15.09.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jack Draper	2:0 ✺
13.09.24	Jack Draper - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 ?WWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Olympic Games
28.07.24	Jack Draper - Kei Nishikori	2:0

Kei Nishikori - Jack Draper: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide