Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday


	Jacob Fearnley		Sebastian Ofner

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.40
	1.49	2.45	Watch
	1.5	2.68
	1.5	2.51	Watch
	1.48	2.65	Watch
	1.43	2.62	Watch
	1.5	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.6)	2.54 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacob Fearnley
63.1%

Sebastian Ofner
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Sebastian Ofner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jacob Fearnley that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sebastian Ofner could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Jacob Fearnley - Sebastian Ofner Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fearnley will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ofner will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ofner (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fearnley is ranked ATP: 110. Ofner is ranked ATP: 124.

Fearnley has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ofner is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ofner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fearnley could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Sebastian Ofner - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 41.24%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Challenger
27.07.26	Jeffrey John Wolf - Jacob Fearnley	Canceled ✺
26.07.26	Alex Michelsen - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Jacob Fearnley - Michael Zheng	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Jacob Fearnley - Jeffrey John Wolf	2:1 ✺
23.07.26	Jacob Fearnley - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 ?LWWW
- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Kitzbuhel
21.07.26	Alex Molcan - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
14.07.26	Sebastian Ofner - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.26	Daniel Rincon - Sebastian Ofner	2:1 ✺
07.07.26	Norbert Gombos - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Sebastian Ofner	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

Jacob Fearnley - Sebastian Ofner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide