Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Francavilla (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 May 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Pece D. (Ita)


	Ryan Nijboer		Federico Arnaboldi

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.44	2.6
	1.45	2.6	Watch
	1.46	2.78
	1.47	2.78
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.37	2.96	Watch
	1.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.42)	2.69 (2.69)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryan Nijboer
65.1%

Federico Arnaboldi
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Nijboer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Federico Arnaboldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryan Nijboer than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Ryan Nijboer - Federico Arnaboldi Predictions

Users Predictions: Ryan Nijboer will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nijboer is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Arnaboldi is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arnaboldi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nijboer will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Nijboer
ATP Challenger
07.05.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Ryan Nijboer	0:2 ✺
06.05.24	Gabriel Debru - Ryan Nijboer	1:2 ✺
05.05.24	Ryan Nijboer - Laurent Lokoli	2:0 ✺
25.04.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Ryan Nijboer	2:1 ✺
23.04.24	Ryan Nijboer - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WWWLW
- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
07.05.24	Lorenzo Carboni - Federico Arnaboldi	Carboni L. retired ✺
06.05.24	Elmer Moeller - Federico Arnaboldi	1:2 ✺
05.05.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Daniel Cukierman	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.04.24	Michele Ribecai - Federico Arnaboldi	Arnaboldi F. retired ✺
08.04.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Kirill Kivattsev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 ?WW?L

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