Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TENERIFE 3 (SPAIN), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 6 February 2023, Monday


	Ryan Peniston		Dalibor Svrcina

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.2	1.65
	2.17	1.7
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.21	1.61	Watch
	2.15	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.9)	1.63 ↓ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryan Peniston
42.6%

Dalibor Svrcina
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Peniston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ryan Peniston's form might have worsened.

Dalibor Svrcina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dalibor Svrcina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ryan Peniston, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dalibor Svrcina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.5%	0%	90.5%

Ryan Peniston - Dalibor Svrcina Predictions

Users Predictions: Dalibor Svrcina will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Svrcina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Peniston won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Peniston
ATP Challenger
01.02.23	Ryan Peniston - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	1:2 ✺
31.01.23	Ryan Peniston - Jay Clarke	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
09.01.23	Alexis Galarneau - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.01.23	Ryan Peniston - Laurent Lokoli	Lokoli L. walkover ✺
05.01.23	Damir Dzumhur - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWL?W
- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Australian Open
18.01.23	Dalibor Svrcina - Yoshihito Nishioka	0:3 ✺
16.01.23	Jaume Munar - Dalibor Svrcina	0:3 ✺
11.01.23	Leandro Riedi - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
10.01.23	Dalibor Svrcina - Nicolas Kicker	Kicker N. retired ✺
08.01.23	Paul Jubb - Dalibor Svrcina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LWW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.04.22	Dalibor Svrcina - Ryan Peniston	1:2
01.12.21	Ryan Peniston - Dalibor Svrcina	2:1

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