Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Tbilisi, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tbilisi 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Ryan Peniston		Evgeny Karlovskiy

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Ryan Peniston
72%

Evgeny Karlovskiy
28%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Peniston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Evgeny Karlovskiy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evgeny Karlovskiy than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

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Peniston is ranked ATP: 310. Karlovskiy is ranked ATP: 416.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Peniston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Peniston is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Peniston won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Peniston
ITF Tournaments
12.05.25	Ryan Peniston - Konstantine Gogeliya	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.05.25	Fajing Sun - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
07.05.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Ryan Peniston	1:2 ✺
05.05.25	Ryan Peniston - James McCabe	McCabe J. retired ✺
29.04.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Ryan Peniston	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLW?L
- Evgeny Karlovskiy
ITF Tournaments
13.05.25	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Cem Ilkel	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.04.25	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Naoki Nakagawa	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.03.25	Tim Handel - Evgeny Karlovskiy	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Raphael Perot - Evgeny Karlovskiy	2:1 ✺
19.03.25	Alexandre Reco - Evgeny Karlovskiy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLW

ITF Tournaments
07.07.18	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Ryan Peniston	2:1

Ryan Peniston - Evgeny Karlovskiy