Match Info

Date: 16 June 2022, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Czech-republic	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Denmark	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
France	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Hungary	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Italy	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Netherlands	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Norway	Eurosport 1
Portugal	Eurosport 1
Russia	Eurosport 1
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Turkey	Eurosport 1


	Ryan Peniston		Francisco Cerundolo

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.6	2.35
	1.54	2.38
	1.6	2.5
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.48	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.8)	2.44 ↑ (2.06)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryan Peniston
61%

Francisco Cerundolo
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Peniston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ryan Peniston's performance.

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francisco Cerundolo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ryan Peniston that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francisco Cerundolo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.8%	0%	12.2%

Ryan Peniston - Francisco Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: Ryan Peniston will win (129 of 147 users predict this - 87.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.46% – 93.06%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Cerundolo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Peniston will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Peniston
ATP London
14.06.22	Casper Ruud - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.06.22	Alexei Popyrin - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
08.06.22	Borna Gojo - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
07.06.22	Ryan Peniston - Jiri Vesely	2:1 ✺
03.06.22	Otto Virtanen - Ryan Peniston	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLWWL
- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP London
14.06.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
23.05.22	Daniel Evans - Francisco Cerundolo	3:0 ✺
ATP Lyon
17.05.22	Cameron Norrie - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
15.05.22	Francisco Cerundolo - James Duckworth	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.22	Francisco Cerundolo - John Isner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLWL

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